Keiko Fujimori is poised to advance to the second round of Peru's presidential election, according to a quick count of 95.7% of votes conducted by the civil society organization Transparencia and Ipsos.
While Fujimori, representing Fuerza Popular, holds a clear lead with 17.1% of the vote, the race for the second runoff position remains a statistical deadlock.
Three candidates—Roberto Sánchez, Rafael López Aliende, and Jorge Nieto—are currently locked in a technical tie for the second spot.
Uncertainty in the runoff
According to Transparencia, Roberto Sánchez of Juntos por el Perú holds 12.4%, Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular has 11.3%, and Jorge Nieto of Buen Gobierno sits at 10.7%.
“There is a technical statistical tie between three candidacies,” said Álvaro Henzler, president of Transparencia. He noted that even when accounting for the margin of error, Fujimori’s lead remains statistically significant.
“This allows us to affirm, with a high level of statistical confidence, that candidate Fujimori would be in first place and would advance to the second round,” Henzler stated.
However, the organization cannot yet identify who will join her in the June runoff. The overlap in percentages among the trailing candidates makes a definitive second-place winner impossible to determine with the current data.
“This superposition indicates the existence of a technical tie, so, with the information available up to this moment, it is not possible to determine which of these candidates would occupy second place,” Henzler added.
He advised the public to wait for the official results to confirm the final matchup. The quick count also indicated that Ricardo Belmont of the Obras party could finish in third place with an estimated 10.2%, effectively removing him from runoff contention.
Transparencia warned that the preliminary figures from the quick count may shift as more data arrives. The organization noted that information from Lima Metropolitana and regional capitals often arrives at different intervals, which can alter the immediate perception of the results.
